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Moving Average Trading Strategy to increase the win rate in Forex and Stock Market Trading… I took 100 but actually 200 trades with EMA
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Can the 20 period moving average increase the winrate of this trading strategy? Last time I tested the MACD zero lag trading strategy 100 times with a 200 moving average, and it didn’t have a good winrate. In fact, it was one of the worst trading strategies we have tested on the Trading Rush channel. But what if the strategy got such a low win rate, because of the 200 Exponential moving average, and using a 20 or 50 E MA can increase the winrate? The Faster MACD indicator we saw in the last video, was really bad at showing the end of the pullback in a trend. When the pullback was big, it was giving multiple false signals in a row. So if we use a smaller period E MA instead of 200 moving average, the false signals should be filtered right? Well, why don’t we test the same strategy with the 50 period exponential moving average, to see if the bad strategy can become good because of a different moving average?
Since I have already explained what a Zero Lag MACD is, and the strategy based around it in the last video, lets focus on the 200 and 50 period moving averages this time. In simple words, moving averages are nothing but averages of the previous candles. So when the price is in a range, you can use the moving average to filter bad trades setups. And when the price is trending strongly in one direction, you can use the moving averages to find the average price, instead of buying and selling at the extreme top and extreme bottom. Moving averages, especially the 200 period moving average, also works as a good support and resistance in a trend. For example, here’s a trade analysis I shared on Patreon. As you can see, the 200 E MA was acting as a support, and price made a move up and the profit target was hit. If we plot both 50 and 200 E MA on the same chart, and insert the Zero Lag MACD indicator that lost money in the last video, you can see, that the False signals that were valid with the 200 period moving average, were filtered with the 50 period moving average. But don’t be fooled yet. This is just one example. This doesn’t mean the MACD zero lag strategy will magically become profitable with the 50 E MA. To find out if it actually works in the long run, and to find out if a different moving average can magically turn one of the worst trading strategies into a profitable one, I took 100 trades with it, and here’s what I found out.
Number 1. Just like last time, the profit graph at the start, went in the upward direction. That’s because the trades that were won last time, made a profit this time as well. But when the trend got weaker, some of the trades that were lost last time, were filtered by the 50 period moving average. Now one might think that the 50 E MA is better, but hold that thought. Because last time, the profit graph in the Trading Rush App, went down soon after making this upward move. And if you look closely, the profit graph with the 50 moving average is also starting to go down. But why? MACD zero Lag gives false signals when the pullback is big, but we are filtering the longer pullbacks with 50 E MA right? Well yes, but now we have another problem.
If you look at the profit graph, you will notice that it still looks very similar to the previous one. That’s because, some of the trades that were lost last time, were filtered by the 50 E MA, but it also filtered some of the winning trades. So the MACD zero lag with the 50 E MA filter, was not that better than the MACD zero lag with 200 E MA filter. But, if you look at the profit graph, you will see that it went up near the end. What made it do that? The winrate with 50 E MA was as bad as the winrate with 200 E MA right? Well, yes! With a 50 period moving average, the MACD zero lag strategy gave less entry signals in the same time period. So I had to take more trades to reach the 100 trades mark. On the same market structure, changing the moving average didn’t make a significant difference to the winrate…
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Zero Lag MACD Crossover, 50 EMA vs 200 EMA? I took 100 TRADES to find the TRUTH… Trading Strategy – Forex Day Trading.
The Extremely Sincere Reality About The “Best” Forex Trading Indicators
They have valid factors to believe this, however they do not satisfy our requirements of entering trades. Don’t stress, I will teach you the technical knowledge of scalping the marketplace. Regrettably, it doesn’t take place that method.
50 EMA vs 200 EMA? I took 100 TRADES to find the TRUTH… Trading Strategy – Forex Day Trading, Enjoy new explained videos about Zero Lag MACD Crossover.
Daily Forex Analysis – As Price Extends, Pullbacks Loom
These signals resemble indication for traders to decide whether it was time to sell or to purchase. Like MACD, when it’s indication lines hit peaks, it may be showing a brief term cost reversal.
Do you want a face-paced career? Are you currently out of work? Do you feel that certificates are just notepads that can’t identify your self-regard? Well then, possibly a career in the foreign exchange market would be the response to your prayers?
1)Pattern. Because lots of currency sets trend really well and really frequently, Forex is fantastic to trade. When manually Macd Trading, finding the trend is your first action. Including a trend indicator to your daily, hourly and 15 minute charts will assist you identify whether you should be going long or short with your trades.
When confronted with numerous choices, the majority of clients have difficulty making a clear decision. They often respond by procrastinating – and never making a decision. Macd Trading signals You lose a sale you already had when this Macd Trading signals takes place.
Creating an efficient forex technique likewise depends upon a particular individual. Depending upon one’s goals and requirements, the technique can be followed. The foremost and first aspect is time. If simply half an hour in front of the display is sufficient or long hours would assist one decide, one needs to choose. Likewise this depends on the convenience level of the specific with the charts.
Discover the option or stock that you prepare to trade. On choices, ideally find one with a. 70 delta or greater. Front month is OKAY but Macd Trading Crossover you need to leave the very same day or your risk is much greater.
Most indicators that you will discover in your charting software come from among these 2 categories: You have either indications for determining trends (e.g. Moving Averages) or indications that define overbought or oversold scenarios and therefore provide you a trade setup for a brief term swing trade.
Observe the MACD. If the MACD turns positive participate in a long trade within 5 candles of it turning favorable. You must put the stop loss at the low of the candle light that was the very first above the 2 moving averages.
The swing trading strategy is best of those beginning at forex without the time (or simple not interested) in being in front of a screen all day, every day. There are 4 types of foreign currency trader. Scalpers who trade for seconds, day traders who open and close their trades in one session. Swing traders leave a trade open for days and then position traders, the long term traders, who open a trade for weeks. Utilizing swing trading you have the perfect balance, it is realistic for those short on time and with out the border (or required patience) of a position trader.
It is the finest advice for keeping you out of losing trades, and handling the threat of the ones you do go into. This is important as one unfavorable concern in trading Forex is losses.
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